The preceding conditions of the Crisis of 2008 are again gifts in the global economy, are they: ) Low interests in the economies central offices, notadamente in U.S.A. b) Pressures in commodities with prominence for energy and foods c) Diffidence in the monetary standard, over all how much to the American dollar These agreed conditions constitute a strong element of instability in world-wide financial the economic system. So that this is clearly is necessary is lingered on each one of these conditions to project a possible scene the short and average stated period. First, the American economic depression (the deliberate emission of US$ 600 billion) aims at the recovery of the American economy on the basis of north the depreciation of the dollar so that the American production gains competitiveness in such a way internal front to the imported products as in the global markets. As the politics of interests low of the FED it does not obtain to neutralize the looseness of the economic depression and it does not have thus as many chances in the market American north, has a true one dollar torrent searching bigger yield in the world-wide markets.
Had the uncertainty in international the monetary standard, ally the uncertainties of the European debts, the natural shelter has been commodities he arrives in port and it of resources for countries that have as anchor the economic growth and real taxes of interests, notadamente the developing countries as Brazil, India, Russia and China. In such a way, it has been attended one strong appreciation of the currencies of these countries in last the two years with exception of the China that has if I validate of all the subterfuges to prevent the appreciation of its local currency of form to keep the competitiveness of its industry in planetary scale. Moreover, the real property assets of these countries have gone off of prices as effect of the biggest volume of available credit in the international squares and to strong positive the exchange flow.